Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.730635 0.848516 0.976506 1.125431 1.293573 1.477142 1.692322
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.541003 0.698923 0.886063 1.122563 1.411697 1.751793 2.180055
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.441013 0.623764 0.856802 1.171902 1.582425 2.094292 2.775231
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.365179 0.559710 0.824215 1.203219 1.724154 2.405761 3.353943
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.321397 0.528291 0.825582 1.272987 1.915954 2.791148 4.053476
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.268026 0.471906 0.781025 1.268600 1.999372 3.031374 4.570298
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.223396 0.420149 0.734071 1.251468 2.057615 3.234932 5.044165
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.188915 0.378327 0.695409 1.239800 2.118746 3.442092 5.531504
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.167048 0.354187 0.681316 1.263719 2.233925 3.733934 6.158243
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.147268 0.330203 0.663690 1.278453 2.333439 4.005731 6.768091
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.129454 0.306722 0.643413 1.285330 2.418678 4.258234 7.360015
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.117290 0.292401 0.637706 1.316395 2.545574 4.583128 8.081750
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.103229 0.272010 0.618591 1.322312 2.631673 4.850714 8.733978
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.086311 0.242036 0.576540 1.280477 2.629281 4.970480 9.151853
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.079257 0.233627 0.577293 1.321121 2.779325 5.357616 10.035075
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.072045 0.223409 0.572737 1.350321 2.909593 5.717142 10.889129
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.068976 0.223176 0.589873 1.425214 3.131639 6.249939 12.066137
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.060684 0.207356 0.569705 1.419580 3.196467 6.503905 12.768548
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.052674 0.190501 0.544652 1.400406 3.232139 6.705445 13.386376
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.046087 0.176222 0.523618 1.387440 3.278360 6.927443 14.049194
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.042232 0.169416 0.520178 1.413754 3.406986 7.310354 15.020955
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.038314 0.161506 0.512784 1.429971 3.515111 7.659041 15.944301
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.034462 0.152883 0.502266 1.437540 3.604857 7.976096 16.821750